Don’t know if it will rain tomorrow, but

the World Gold Council just published a report discussing the next three decades for gold – Gold 2048. Based on the opinions of several industry experts, the document discusses where key trends may lead the precious commodity and the industry:

  • The expanding middle class in China and India, combined with broader economic growth, will have a significant impact on gold demand.
  • Use of gold across energy, healthcare and technology is changing rapidly. Gold’s position as a material of choice is expected to continue and evolve over the coming decades.
  • Mobile apps for gold investment, which allow individuals to buy, sell, invest and gift gold will develop rapidly in India and China.
  • Environmental, social and governance issues will play an increasing role in re-shaping mining production methods.
  • The gold mining industry will have to grapple with the challenge of producing similar levels of gold over the next 30 years to match the volume it has historically delivered.

The best way to avoid getting wet in tomorrow’s economy is to listen to the weatherman, reading experts’ opinions to form your own. The report is available at the World Gold Council’s website.

Gold trends last year

For those that missed it, World Gold Council released a report a few days ago about the gold trends in 2016. World Gold Council report highlights:

  • 2016 was the second best year for ETFs on record. Global demand for gold-backed ETFs and similar products was 531.9t – the highest since 2009. Q4 saw outflows.

  • The gold price ended the year up 8%. Having risen 25% by the end of September, gold relinquished some of its gains in Q4 following Trump’s conciliatory acceptance speech and the FOMC’s interest rate rise.
  • 2016 saw a 7-year low for jewellery demand.bRising prices for much of the year, regulatory and fiscal hurdles in India and China’s softening economy were key reasons for weakness in the sector.
  • India’s shock demonetisation policy brought the market to a virtual standstill. An initial rush for gold following the policy announcement came to a swift halt in the ensuing cash crunch.

You may download the full report report here.

What to expect from gold in 2016

The World Gold Council just published their review of gold’s performance during 2015, examining the factors that may influence gold in 2016.

According to the World Gold Council’s report, the effect that US rates have had on the gold price is overdone and may take a back seat in 2016. Amid expensive stock valuations and high market risks, gold’s role as a portfolio diversifier and tail risk hedge is particularly relevant.

Their report is available here or at their website.

The social and economic impacts of gold mining

World Gold Council logoWorld Gold Council just published a new report on the social and economic impacts of gold mining. The report examines the wider footprint of gold mining and its implications for growth and development. To obtain the full report, just click: the-social-and-economic-impacts-of-gold-mining. You may also visit World Gold Council.

Key findings

  • Total contribution of over US$171bn to the global economy.
  • Total number of jobs that result from commercial gold mining rises to around 4.2 million globally.
  • In most gold producing countries, over 90% of the industry’s employees are local workers.
  • Over 60% of the countries covered in the report are low or lower-middle income with substantial socio-economic development needs.
  • 70% of the value that gold mining companies distribute within an economy relates to payments to local suppliers and employees.
  • Gold mining’s direct economic contribution to the global economy has increased seven-fold from 2000 to 2013.

World Gold Council infographic_1